Followers of the Magpies are more and more viewing their manager's squad as a fickle companion. When everything clicks, they can be the very entertainers, producing high-intensity exhibitions. Yet, in other matches, previously reliable individuals like Sandro Tonali and others completely fail to appear.
Compounding this issue is a second-half approach suffused by a worrying streak of chaos. Before their Boxing Day to Manchester United, the numbers tell a troubling tale: they have squandered 13 precious top-flight points from winning situations this season and are without a clean sheet in 10 straight games across all competitions. Claiming three points at their famous stadium would represent only their second-ever league success on the travel this year.
In contrast, defeat has been tasted on one occasion in their last six league fixtures, and despite occupying a seemingly lowly eleventh place, they are a only 6 points away from the highly-prized Champions League places. Factor in an impending two-legged League Cup semi-final against Manchester City and a strong opportunity of advancing to the European Cup knockout phase, and it becomes easier to appreciate the manager's guarded optimism.
“Our issues aren't limited to problems,” stated the club's manager. “There are strengths also. I am very much positive right now. I know others could have a opposing opinion, but my belief is we're improving.”
The challenge is: can this collection of players recapture – or perhaps exceed – the heights of the previous campaign's Wembley triumph and fifth-place finish? Juggling a hectic fixture list makes this difficult.
The resulting fatigue might explain the inability to maintain a superb first-half performance against Chelsea, ultimately surrendering a 2-0 lead to tie 2-2. Likewise, it is possibly the reason for a subdued performance in a damaging defeat to local rivals the Black Cats, where the side seemed off the pace just a short time after a tough European away day.
While on-field instruction is clearly Howe's strength, the relentless grind of two games a week football has radically cut into valuable coaching sessions. This slows the team's tactical adaptation to operating with new striker Nick Woltemade up front, instead of the now departed Alexander Isak. While extremely talented, the German forward lacks the equivalent searing counter-attacking pace or intense pressing.
Indeed, the side's once-formidable high press has sporadically malfunctioned. Injuries to vital cog Joelinton have been a factor, while high-profile arrivals the Swedish winger and Jacob Ramsey have struggled settling after their combined ÂŁ90m+ moves.
If a change to a three-man defense might arguably assist the cause, a worsening defensive injury list renders that problematic. Key defenders will be unavailable for the next key fixtures, straining the team's depth.
At their high-tempo best, they look virtually unplayable. The issue is maintaining that intensity for the entire 90 minutes. The go-to plan B of sitting back into a deep-lying defensive shape has sometimes proven self-destructive.
“That match became disorganized at two-all,” conceded the coach. “But we were trying to win. Our mentality is to always go out to win.”
What appears required is a balanced approach – involving better possession control, a midfield capable of slowing the pace, and a pragmatic readiness to occasionally settle for a point. Yet, a ambition to challenge on all fronts is testing limited squad numbers to their limit.
It may sound unthinkable to some, but a more selective strategy in the domestic cups earlier could have eased the present schedule congestion. With vital European and league matches on the agenda, the need to carefully prioritize is becoming ever more apparent.
The manager recognized the magnitude of the challenge ahead. “Being involved this club, the pressures are enormous. Every moment's crucial. We have work to do in the league. We're in the League Cup semi-finals, we aim to progress in the Europe and perform in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the right direction, but we have plenty of work to do to become the regularly winning team we aspire to be. The ability to string together sequences of victories has eluded us this season.
“The objective is to attain that standard we are aware we're capable of. The internal belief is that the confidence we can do that is growing. Yet nowadays we have to prove it. It ain't all doom and gloom in this moment, but the upcoming fixtures will decide a lot.”
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